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April 29, 2020





 

The  Singapore University of Technology and Design (SUTD), predicts the end of the coronavirus epidemic in different countries and globally.

The data from 131 countries are analyzed and the forecast is made on the basis of mathematical models.

Their site provides continuous predictive monitoring of COVID-19 developments as a complement to monitoring confirmed cases.

 Their SIR (susceptible-infected-recovered) model is regressed with data from different countries to estimate the pandemic life cycle curves and predict when the pandemic might end in respective countries and the world.

The prediction is updated daily with the latest data.

The study claims that the peak of the disease has passed in many countries.

In China, according to Singaporean scientists, the epidemic ended as early as April 9.

The US will be 100 percent free from the epidemic on August 27, Germany on June 6, France on August 9. Spain - August 2, Italy - August 31, Macedonia - June 17, Turkey - July 30, Greece - July 12.

The UK will be free of the virus on August 22, and Serbia on August 24.

The epidemic in Russia is expected to end on August 19, with a peak on April 24.

Turkey will finally defeat the epidemic on July 30,

The global peak, according to current data, was on April 24, and the epidemic will be fully resolved on December 1.

Data change every day depending on changes in morbidity,anti-pandemic measures and dozens of other components.

Full data graphics at: https://ddi.sutd.edu.sg/

WHEN WILL COVID-19 END - PREDICTION 

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